• David Nield
  • Blog
  • Opening Popularity
  • Viable Openings
  • Time Controls Popularity
  • Time Control Rating Conversion
  • Resume

Viable Openings

Compare legal move orders through White’s third move with the openings people played on Lichess.

A line qualifies when every move stays within the allowed loss from the mover’s best legal choice and every position stays inside the evaluation band. Both sliders use pawns. A ply is one move by one player.

Loading opening data…

Percentages use all legal possibilities at the indicated ply. A move order counts as played when a game followed that exact sequence. A position counts if a game reached it by any move order at the same ply.

Move orders that meet both filters

Table view
· Game counts are for the exact moves shown.

Evaluations come from the repertoire database. Stockfish 19 filled missing scores at 100,000 nodes per position. Win percentages use its full-material model. Game counts cover rated, non-tournament standard games on Lichess from January 2013 through July 2026, excluding known bots.

How far does the tree grow at the widest settings?

Maximum move loss 1.00 pawn · evaluation band ±1.00. Counts are exact through ply 5. Plies 6–8 use 256 sampled continuations from qualifying five-ply move orders.

Ply Surviving move orders Share of all legal orders Sampling interval

Ply Positions needing scores 95% sampling interval Estimated engine time

Ply 6 has an exact count of outstanding evaluations. Plies 7 and 8 use 64 sampled walks, weighting each missing position by the number of qualifying routes to it and accounting for earlier fills. Times cover additional engine work at each ply.